French Ligue 2, round 11 · Friday, 30 October, 22:00 MSK

Nantes — Clermont Foot

Model prediction for 30 October

Nantes60%

Draw25%

Clermont Foot14%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nantes are clear favourites: 60% against 14% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

By the strength ratings Nantes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Nantes — No. 13, 8 pts; Clermont Foot — No. 17, 6 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Clermont Foot: winless in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Nantes 2 wins, Clermont Foot 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nantes — Clermont Foot What is xG?		1.7–0.8
Nantes not to lose		86%
Clermont Foot not to lose		40%
No draw		75%
Both teams to score: yes		50%
Both teams to score: no		50%
Total over 2.5		51%
Total under 2.5		49%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Nantes
Nantes goals
Clermont Foot goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Nantes

10.10Reims0:0
19.09away · Boulogne2:1
12.09away · Sochaux0:1
07.09Nancy1:0
29.08away · Guingamp3:3

Clermont Foot

10.10Red Star2:3
18.09away · Grenoble1:1
11.09Boulogne0:0
04.09away · Dunkerque1:1
28.08Sochaux0:0

Head to head

14.01.2024Nantes — Clermont Foot1:2
17.09.2023Clermont Foot — Nantes0:1
29.01.2023Clermont Foot — Nantes0:0
30.10.2022Nantes — Clermont Foot1:1
03.04.2022Clermont Foot — Nantes2:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
12	Dunkerque	8	2	2	4	10–13	-3	8
13	Nantes	8	2	2	4	9–13	-4	8
14	Grenoble	8	2	2	4	8–13	-5	8
16, Relegation play-off	Boulogne	8	0	6	2	4–6	-2	6
17, Relegation	Clermont Foot	8	0	6	2	6–9	-3	6
18, Relegation	Laval	8	1	2	5	10–17	-7	5

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

22:00
GrenobleDijonpreliminary
382834
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
22:00
LavalBoulognepreliminary
393131
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
22:00
MetzPaupreliminary
512623
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
22:00
RodezDunkerquepreliminary
422830
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →