Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Nashville SC — Philadelphia Union
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nashville SC are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Nashville SC — No. 1, 63 pts; Philadelphia Union — No. 12, 42 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
- Nashville SC: 3 wins in a row; Philadelphia Union: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Nashville SC 3 wins, Philadelphia Union 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nashville SC — Philadelphia Union What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| Nashville SC not to lose | 73% | |
| Philadelphia Union not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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- Handicap Nashville SC
- Nashville SC goals
- Philadelphia Union goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Austin FC4:1
- 27.09Toronto FC2:0
- 20.09Chicago Fire FC3:0
- 13.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 10.09away · Toronto FC1:2
- 11.10Real Salt Lake2:1
- 27.09Orlando City4:2
- 20.09away · Sporting Kansas City4:3
- 14.09away · San Diego FC5:0
- 10.09FC Cincinnati5:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Philadelphia Union — Nashville SC0:0
- 17.09.2025Nashville SC — Philadelphia Union3:1
- 06.07.2025Nashville SC — Philadelphia Union1:0
- 16.03.2025Philadelphia Union — Nashville SC1:3
- 21.07.2024Philadelphia Union — Nashville SC3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →