Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · GEODIS Park
Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Nashville SC are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nashville SC are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas City What is xG? | 2.6–0.9 | |
| Nashville SC not to lose | 92% | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nashville SC
- Nashville SC goals
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Austin FC4:1
- 27.09Toronto FC2:0
- 20.09Chicago Fire FC3:0
- 13.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 10.09away · Toronto FC1:2
- 11.10Portland Timbers3:3
- 02.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 27.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:0
- 20.09Philadelphia Union3:4
- 13.09Los Angeles FC3:1
Head to head
- 21.09.2023Sporting Kansas City — Nashville SC0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →