South African Premiership · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Orlando Amstel Arena
Orlando Pirates — TS Galaxy
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Orlando Pirates to win (81%), came true.
Orlando Pirates are clear favourites: 81% against 5% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orlando Pirates are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Orlando Pirates: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Orlando Pirates 3 wins, TS Galaxy 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orlando Pirates — TS Galaxy What is xG? | 2.2–0.5 | |
| Orlando Pirates not to lose | 95% | |
| TS Galaxy not to lose | 19% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Orlando Pirates
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- TS Galaxy goals
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Form
- 20.09away · Marumo Gallants2:0
- 17.09Durban City2:0
- 01.09away · Kruger United4:0
- 25.08Sekhukhune United2:0
- 16.08away · Chippa United3:0
- 20.09Chippa United0:1
- 13.09Kruger United0:1
- 05.09away · Sekhukhune United0:0
- 25.08away · Marumo Gallants3:2
- 16.08Lamontville Golden Arrows0:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026TS Galaxy — Orlando Pirates0:6
- 30.09.2025Orlando Pirates — TS Galaxy2:0
- 17.05.2025Orlando Pirates — TS Galaxy1:1
- 29.10.2024TS Galaxy — Orlando Pirates0:2
- 18.05.2024TS Galaxy — Orlando Pirates1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 9 | 7 | +15 | 23 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | AmaZulu FC | 8 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 11 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Kruger United | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
Next matches
- Orlando PiratesKaizer Chiefs31 October · SA Premiership · preliminary6624111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Polokwane CityTS Galaxy31 October · SA Premiership · preliminary4333241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
SA Premiership on the same day
- 4332251The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 5130181The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 1223652The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →