South African Premiership · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Orlando Pirates — Kaizer Chiefs
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Orlando Pirates are clear favourites: 65% against 11% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orlando Pirates are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orlando Pirates — Kaizer Chiefs What is xG? | 1.5–0.5 | |
| Orlando Pirates not to lose | 89% | |
| Kaizer Chiefs not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates goals
- Kaizer Chiefs goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10TS Galaxy3:0
- 20.09away · Marumo Gallants2:0
- 17.09Durban City2:0
- 01.09away · Kruger United4:0
- 25.08Sekhukhune United2:0
- 13.10Stellenbosch FC1:1
- 20.09away · Lamontville Golden Arrows0:0
- 12.09away · Polokwane City1:1
- 06.09Siwelele3:2
- 26.08away · Richards Bay2:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Orlando Pirates — Kaizer Chiefs1:1
- 28.02.2026Kaizer Chiefs — Orlando Pirates0:3
- 03.05.2025Kaizer Chiefs — Orlando Pirates1:2
- 01.02.2025Orlando Pirates — Kaizer Chiefs1:0
- 09.03.2024Orlando Pirates — Kaizer Chiefs3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 9 | 7 | +15 | 23 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | AmaZulu FC | 8 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 8 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
SA Premiership on the same day
- Milford FCSekhukhune Unitedpreliminary363331XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- Polokwane CityTS Galaxypreliminary4332241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- AmaZulu FCLamontville Golden Arrowspreliminary4332251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Kruger UnitedRichards Baypreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →