Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Paredes — Famalicão
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Famalicão are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Famalicão are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paredes — Famalicão What is xG? | 0.7–2.6 | |
| Paredes not to lose | 23% | |
| Famalicão not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap Paredes
- Paredes goals
- Famalicão goals
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Form
- 12.10Alverca1:4
- 19.09away · Nacional4:0
- 13.09Sporting CP1:1
- 05.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:2
- 30.08Gil Vicente0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →