Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Go Ahead Eagles are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: PEC Zwolle — No. 16, 4 pts; Go Ahead Eagles — No. 8, 11 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- PEC Zwolle: 3 defeats in a row; Go Ahead Eagles: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: PEC Zwolle 0 wins, Go Ahead Eagles 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles What is xG? | 1.5–1.8 | |
| PEC Zwolle not to lose | 56% | |
| Go Ahead Eagles not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Handicap PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle goals
- Go Ahead Eagles goals
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Form
- 11.10Cambuur0:1
- 18.09away · FC Groningen0:3
- 13.09Feyenoord0:7
- 04.09away · Sparta Rotterdam2:2
- 29.08NEC Nijmegen1:3
- 10.10Sparta Rotterdam3:3
- 20.09away · NEC Nijmegen1:1
- 12.09FC Groningen1:1
- 08.09away · FC Utrecht3:3
- 29.08away · AZ Alkmaar2:5
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle5:0
- 21.09.2025PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles0:2
- 11.05.2025PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles1:1
- 03.11.2024Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle2:2
- 11.02.2024Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- 6920101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →