Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Portland Timbers — Charlotte FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Portland Timbers are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Portland Timbers — No. 20, 33 pts; Charlotte FC — No. 8, 46 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Portland Timbers: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Portland Timbers — Charlotte FC What is xG? | 1.8–1.6 | |
| Portland Timbers not to lose | 67% | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Portland Timbers
- Portland Timbers goals
- Charlotte FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:3
- 27.09away · San Jose Earthquakes1:3
- 20.09Atlanta United0:1
- 13.09away · FC Dallas1:2
- 10.09St. Louis City2:2
- 11.10FC Dallas3:2
- 27.09Chicago Fire FC0:1
- 20.09away · DC United2:1
- 13.09away · FC Cincinnati3:3
- 10.09away · CF Montréal2:1
Head to head
- 05.05.2024Charlotte FC — Portland Timbers2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2925462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:34.1
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →