EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Queens Park Rangers — Swansea City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Queens Park Rangers 39%, Swansea City 32%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Queens Park Rangers — No. 9, 14 pts; Swansea City — No. 1, 23 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Queens Park Rangers: unbeaten in 4; Swansea City: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Queens Park Rangers 2 wins, Swansea City 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers — Swansea City What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 68% | |
| Swansea City not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Queens Park Rangers
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Swansea City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10away · West Ham United1:1
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
- 13.10away · Millwall1:0
- 10.10Norwich City2:1
- 19.09away · Lincoln City2:1
- 12.09Burnley3:1
- 08.09away · Southampton1:3
Head to head
- 21.04.2026Queens Park Rangers — Swansea City1:2
- 22.10.2025Swansea City — Queens Park Rangers0:1
- 21.04.2025Queens Park Rangers — Swansea City1:2
- 26.12.2024Swansea City — Queens Park Rangers3:0
- 01.04.2024Swansea City — Queens Park Rangers0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Charlton AthleticNorwich Citypreliminary2528462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Blackburn RoversWrexhampreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3628351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Lincoln CityBurnleypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Preston North EndWest Bromwich Albionpreliminary343037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Stoke CityBristol Citypreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →