Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Querétaro FC — Cruz Azul
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cruz Azul are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cruz Azul are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Querétaro FC — No. 3, 20 pts; Cruz Azul — No. 7, 17 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Querétaro FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Querétaro FC 0 wins, Cruz Azul 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Querétaro FC — Cruz Azul What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Querétaro FC not to lose | 57% | |
| Cruz Azul not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Querétaro FC
- Querétaro FC goals
- Cruz Azul goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Atlante2:0
- 27.09away · Chivas2:0
- 21.09León1:1
- 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
- 30.08away · Atlas3:1
- 12.10away · Pumas3:3
- 27.09Toluca3:3
- 20.09away · Monterrey0:1
- 13.09CF América4:3
- 07.09Santos Laguna1:0
Head to head
- 22.04.2026Querétaro FC — Cruz Azul1:1
- 25.09.2025Cruz Azul — Querétaro FC2:2
- 24.02.2025Cruz Azul — Querétaro FC1:0
- 24.08.2024Querétaro FC — Cruz Azul0:2
- 03.02.2024Querétaro FC — Cruz Azul1:3
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- AtlasPueblapreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- CF AméricaPachucapreliminary5525191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- TijuanaSantos Lagunapreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →