Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón
Racing Club — Belgrano
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Racing Club to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Racing Club are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Racing Club are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Belgrano: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Racing Club 4 wins, Belgrano 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Club — Belgrano What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 73% | |
| Belgrano not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Racing Club
- Racing Club goals
- Belgrano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
- 19.09Sarmiento3:1
- 14.09away · Huracán1:2
- 07.09Atlético Tucumán1:2
- 04.10away · Talleres1:0
- 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
- 05.09Huracán1:1
- 30.08away · Atlético Tucumán0:0
Head to head
- 20.08.2026Racing Club — Belgrano1:0
- 22.03.2026Belgrano — Racing Club1:2
- 21.07.2025Belgrano — Racing Club0:1
- 31.01.2025Racing Club — Belgrano4:0
- 12.05.2024Belgrano — Racing Club4:4
Next matches
- Racing ClubIndependiente18 October · Liga Profesional4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- BelgranoRiver Plate19 October · Liga Profesional293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4729241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.1
- 5128211The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →