Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Lanús — Vélez Sarsfield
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lanús to win (51%), came true.
Lanús are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lanús are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Lanús: unbeaten in 4; Vélez Sarsfield: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Lanús 2 wins, Vélez Sarsfield 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lanús — Vélez Sarsfield What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Lanús not to lose | 79% | |
| Vélez Sarsfield not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Lanús
- Lanús goals
- Vélez Sarsfield goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 03.10away · Newell's Old Boys0:0
- 22.09Estudiantes2:1
- 15.09away · Deportivo Riestra3:0
- 06.09Defensa y Justicia1:0
- 29.08away · Boca Juniors0:1
- 06.10Club Atlético Platense2:2
- 21.09Tigre3:2
- 11.09away · Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 06.09Estudiantes1:0
- 03.09Boca Juniors0:0
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Vélez Sarsfield — Lanús0:1
- 31.08.2025Vélez Sarsfield — Lanús3:0
- 22.05.2025Lanús — Vélez Sarsfield2:0
- 22.02.2025Lanús — Vélez Sarsfield0:0
- 21.11.2024Vélez Sarsfield — Lanús0:0
Next matches
- Club Atlético PlatenseLanús17 October · Liga Profesional343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza18 October · Liga Profesional5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4729241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →