UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
Real Betis — FC Porto
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In short
Evenly matched: Real Betis 38%, FC Porto 36%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Real Betis: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Facts
- League table: Real Betis — No. 13, 3 pts; FC Porto — No. 29, 0 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Real Betis: unbeaten in 5; FC Porto: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Betis — FC Porto What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 64% | |
| FC Porto not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Betis
- Real Betis goals
- FC Porto goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Osasuna5:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 17.09Getafe1:0
- 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
- 08.09away · Lille3:2
- 10.10away · Marítimo2:1
- 20.09Benfica3:1
- 12.09away · Casa Pia AC4:1
- 08.09Manchester City0:2
- 04.09Moreirense2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 | Inter | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- 3526382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 5025251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 3626382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 5224231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 3426402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1219692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →