Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Real Salt Lake — St. Louis City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Real Salt Lake 35%, St. Louis City 38%, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Salt Lake — St. Louis City What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 62% | |
| St. Louis City not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Salt Lake
- Real Salt Lake goals
- St. Louis City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Philadelphia Union1:2
- 27.09New England Revolution3:0
- 24.09away · Seattle Sounders FC0:2
- 20.09Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 13.09New York City FC0:2
- 12.10LA Galaxy6:2
- 01.10away · Red Bull New York3:0
- 20.09Toronto FC3:1
- 17.09away · Colorado Rapids3:0
- 13.09Minnesota United4:2
Head to head
- 02.08.2026St. Louis City — Real Salt Lake1:1
- 19.10.2025St. Louis City — Real Salt Lake2:2
- 06.07.2025Real Salt Lake — St. Louis City3:2
- 31.03.2024Real Salt Lake — St. Louis City3:1
- 25.02.2024St. Louis City — Real Salt Lake1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2925462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:34.1
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →