Segunda Division, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Real Sociedad B — Girona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Girona are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Real Sociedad B — No. 19, 8 pts; Girona — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Real Sociedad B: 4 defeats in a row; Girona: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Real Sociedad B 0 wins, Girona 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Sociedad B — Girona What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Real Sociedad B not to lose | 60% | |
| Girona not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Sociedad B
- Real Sociedad B goals
- Girona goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
- 04.10Granada2:3
- 26.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:3
- 19.09Mallorca0:1
- 12.09away · FC Andorra3:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2022Girona — Real Sociedad B2:0
- 22.11.2021Real Sociedad B — Girona1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- EibarAlmeríapreliminary4428281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Celta FortunaCórdobapreliminary3528382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- AlbaceteSabadellpreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →