Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 26 October, MSK

River Plate — Racing Club

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Model prediction for 26 October

River Plate63%
Draw23%
Racing Club14%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

River Plate are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings River Plate are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: River Plate — Racing Club What is xG?1.7–0.8
River Plate not to lose86%
Racing Club not to lose37%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap River Plate
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  • Racing Club goals
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Form

River Plate

  • 11.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:0
  • 20.09Huracán1:2
  • 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
  • 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
  • 30.08away · Banfield3:2

Racing Club

  • 12.10Belgrano0:2
  • 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
  • 19.09Sarmiento3:1
  • 14.09away · Huracán1:2

Head to head

  • 13.04.2026Racing Club — River Plate0:2
  • 25.11.2025Racing Club — River Plate3:2
  • 03.10.2025Racing Club — River Plate0:1
  • 15.12.2024Racing Club — River Plate1:0
  • 29.07.2023River Plate — Racing Club2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →