River Plate — Racing Club
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
River Plate are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings River Plate are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: River Plate — Racing Club What is xG? | 1.7–0.8 | |
| River Plate not to lose | 86% | |
| Racing Club not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap River Plate
- River Plate goals
- Racing Club goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:0
- 20.09Huracán1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
- 30.08away · Banfield3:2
- 12.10Belgrano0:2
- 05.10away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 27.09Boca Juniors2:3
- 19.09Sarmiento3:1
- 14.09away · Huracán1:2
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Racing Club — River Plate0:2
- 25.11.2025Racing Club — River Plate3:2
- 03.10.2025Racing Club — River Plate0:1
- 15.12.2024Racing Club — River Plate1:0
- 29.07.2023River Plate — Racing Club2:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Central Córdoba de SantiagoVélez Sarsfieldpreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- Barracas CentralEstudiantes de Río Cuartopreliminary5330161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →