Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Rivers United FC — Enugu Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rivers United FC are clear favourites: 64% against 13% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rivers United FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Rivers United FC — No. 2, 16 pts; Enugu Rangers — No. 1, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Rivers United FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Rivers United FC 3 wins, Enugu Rangers 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rivers United FC — Enugu Rangers What is xG? | 1.6–0.6 | |
| Rivers United FC not to lose | 87% | |
| Enugu Rangers not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rivers United FC
- Rivers United FC goals
- Enugu Rangers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Abia Warriors0:0
- 04.10Ikorodu City2:0
- 30.09away · Katsina United1:1
- 28.09away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 24.09Kun Khalifat5:0
- 11.10away · Barau2:2
- 04.10Abia Warriors3:1
- 30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2
- 23.09Ranchers Bees1:0
Head to head
- 14.01.2026Enugu Rangers — Rivers United FC0:0
- 28.12.2025Rivers United FC — Enugu Rangers1:0
- 07.05.2025Rivers United FC — Enugu Rangers1:0
- 08.12.2024Enugu Rangers — Rivers United FC1:0
- 21.04.2024Rivers United FC — Enugu Rangers2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaKun Khalifatpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Inter LagosRanchers Beespreliminary373232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Kano PillarsNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5826171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Katsina UnitedSporting Lagospreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Kwara UnitedBendel Insurancepreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Niger TornadoesBaraupreliminary4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary6921111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Shooting StarsAbia Warriorspreliminary6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →