Segunda Division, round 8 · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Estadi Municipal de la Nova Creu Alta
Sabadell — FC Andorra
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sabadell to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.
Sabadell are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sabadell are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sabadell — FC Andorra What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 78% | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sabadell
- Sabadell goals
- FC Andorra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 26.09away · Celta Fortuna1:1
- 20.09Real Oviedo3:1
- 13.09away · Mallorca0:2
- 07.09Córdoba3:2
- 29.08Almería1:0
- 26.09away · Granada3:2
- 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
- 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3
- 05.09away · Real Valladolid0:1
- 30.08Eibar0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
Next matches
- AD Ceuta FCSabadell10 October · Segunda Division2528472The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.2.6
- FC AndorraCastellón11 October · Segunda Division3227412The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:2.3.2
Segunda Division on the same day
- 4029311The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4826261The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 7515101The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 3:1.3.7
- 3931301The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →