Segunda Division, round 8 · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona — Mallorca
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Girona to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Girona are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Girona — Mallorca What is xG? | 1.2–0.8 | |
| Girona not to lose | 74% | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Girona
- Girona goals
- Mallorca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 25.09Albacete2:0
- 19.09away · Cádiz2:1
- 12.09Castellón1:2
- 05.09away · Sporting Gijón2:0
- 29.08Las Palmas5:2
- 27.09Almería0:1
- 19.09away · Real Sociedad B1:0
- 13.09Sabadell2:0
- 05.09away · Eldense0:0
- 30.08AD Ceuta FC3:0
Head to head
- 01.05.2026Girona — Mallorca0:1
- 04.01.2026Mallorca — Girona1:2
- 05.05.2025Girona — Mallorca1:0
- 14.12.2024Mallorca — Girona2:1
- 03.03.2024Mallorca — Girona1:0
Table
Next matches
- MallorcaLas Palmas11 October · Segunda Division4530241The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- TenerifeGirona12 October · Segunda Division333037XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
Segunda Division on the same day
- 4029311The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4826261The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 7515101The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 3:1.3.7
- 3931301The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
- 5424221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →