Segunda Division, round 9 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp
FC Andorra — Castellón
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Castellón to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Castellón are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Castellón are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Andorra — Castellón What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| FC Andorra not to lose | 59% | |
| Castellón not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Andorra
- FC Andorra goals
- Castellón goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
- 26.09away · Granada3:2
- 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
- 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3
- 05.09away · Real Valladolid0:1
- 04.10AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 28.09away · Leganés2:0
- 19.09Tenerife5:0
- 12.09away · Girona2:1
- 06.09Albacete2:0
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Castellón — FC Andorra2:0
- 22.11.2025FC Andorra — Castellón1:3
Table
Next matches
- Las PalmasCastellón17 October · Segunda Division3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- GironaFC Andorra18 October · Segunda Division4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Segunda Division on the same day
- 5824181The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.3.1
- 4530241The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 372934XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →