Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids

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Model prediction for 29 October

San Jose Earthquakes48%
Draw27%
Colorado Rapids25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Jose Earthquakes are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings San Jose Earthquakes are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids What is xG?1.8–1.3
San Jose Earthquakes not to lose75%
Colorado Rapids not to lose52%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap San Jose Earthquakes
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  • Colorado Rapids goals
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Form

San Jose Earthquakes

  • 11.10away · Colorado Rapids1:1
  • 27.09Portland Timbers3:1
  • 20.09Los Angeles FC2:2
  • 13.09Houston Dynamo FC1:0
  • 10.09away · San Diego FC3:2

Colorado Rapids

  • 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
  • 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
  • 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
  • 17.09St. Louis City0:3
  • 13.09CF Montréal1:0

Head to head

  • 11.10.2026Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes1:1
  • 21.05.2026Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes2:0
  • 11.05.2025Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes0:2
  • 16.03.2025San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids1:2
  • 12.05.2024Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes2:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceFC Dallas28138752–45+747
7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceSan Jose Earthquakes28137850–40+1046
8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceCharlotte FC28137850–40+1046
13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceSeattle Sounders FC28118938–35+341
14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff placeColorado Rapids281141339–39037
15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conferenceOrlando City281141351–66-1537

Season 2026

Full table

MLS on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →