Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Jose Earthquakes are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings San Jose Earthquakes are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: San Jose Earthquakes — No. 7, 46 pts; Colorado Rapids — No. 14, 37 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- San Jose Earthquakes: unbeaten in 5; Colorado Rapids: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Earthquakes 2 wins, Colorado Rapids 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids What is xG? | 1.7–1.5 | |
| San Jose Earthquakes not to lose | 68% | |
| Colorado Rapids not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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- Handicap San Jose Earthquakes
- San Jose Earthquakes goals
- Colorado Rapids goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Colorado Rapids1:1
- 27.09Portland Timbers3:1
- 20.09Los Angeles FC2:2
- 13.09Houston Dynamo FC1:0
- 10.09away · San Diego FC3:2
- 11.10San Jose Earthquakes1:1
- 27.09away · LA Galaxy2:3
- 20.09Seattle Sounders FC3:3
- 17.09St. Louis City0:3
- 13.09CF Montréal1:0
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes1:1
- 21.05.2026Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes2:0
- 11.05.2025Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes0:2
- 16.03.2025San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids1:2
- 12.05.2024Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →