Major League Soccer (MLS), round 31 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting Kansas City are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Kansas City are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sporting Kansas City — No. 30, 22 pts; Austin FC — No. 24, 31 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sporting Kansas City 2 wins, Austin FC 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC What is xG? | 1.8–1.4 | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 71% | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- Austin FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Portland Timbers3:3
- 02.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 27.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:0
- 20.09Philadelphia Union3:4
- 13.09Los Angeles FC3:1
- 11.10Nashville SC1:4
- 27.09San Diego FC3:3
- 20.09away · FC Dallas0:0
- 14.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 10.09Colorado Rapids1:1
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City1:2
- 08.09.2025Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC1:2
- 23.02.2025Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City1:0
- 30.06.2024Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC2:0
- 19.05.2024Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- Red Bull New YorkInter Miami CFpreliminary2625502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.9
- Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire FCpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- DC UnitedFC Cincinnatipreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- Orlando CityNew York City FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolutionpreliminary6023181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecapspreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- FC DallasSan Jose Earthquakespreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Houston Dynamo FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →