DFB-Pokal, round 2 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

SSV Jeddeloh — Hertha BSC

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Model prediction for 28 October

SSV Jeddeloh9%
Draw16%
Hertha BSC76%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hertha BSC are clear favourites: 76% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hertha BSC are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Hertha BSC: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SSV Jeddeloh — Hertha BSC What is xG?0.8–2.5
SSV Jeddeloh not to lose24%
Hertha BSC not to lose91%
No draw84%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap SSV Jeddeloh
  • SSV Jeddeloh goals
  • Hertha BSC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

SSV Jeddeloh

  • 23.08FC Heidenheim5:2

Hertha BSC

  • 11.10Greuther Fürth2:1
  • 19.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
  • 13.09away · VfL Osnabrück3:1
  • 06.09Magdeburg2:1
  • 28.08away · Eintracht Braunschweig5:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

DFB-Pokal on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →