Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
St. Louis City — Portland Timbers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
St. Louis City are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St. Louis City are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: St. Louis City — No. 3, 50 pts; Portland Timbers — No. 20, 33 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- St. Louis City: 5 wins in a row; Portland Timbers: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Louis City 1 win, Portland Timbers 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Louis City — Portland Timbers What is xG? | 2.1–1.2 | |
| St. Louis City not to lose | 82% | |
| Portland Timbers not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Louis City
- St. Louis City goals
- Portland Timbers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10LA Galaxy6:2
- 01.10away · Red Bull New York3:0
- 20.09Toronto FC3:1
- 17.09away · Colorado Rapids3:0
- 13.09Minnesota United4:2
- 11.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:3
- 27.09away · San Jose Earthquakes1:3
- 20.09Atlanta United0:1
- 13.09away · FC Dallas1:2
- 10.09St. Louis City2:2
Head to head
- 10.09.2026Portland Timbers — St. Louis City2:2
- 14.07.2025St. Louis City — Portland Timbers2:1
- 09.06.2025Portland Timbers — St. Louis City2:1
- 25.08.2024Portland Timbers — St. Louis City4:4
- 09.06.2024St. Louis City — Portland Timbers0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →