Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Toronto FC — DC United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Toronto FC — No. 23, 32 pts; DC United — No. 26, 30 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- DC United: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto FC 1 win, DC United 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto FC — DC United What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Toronto FC not to lose | 70% | |
| DC United not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Toronto FC
- Toronto FC goals
- DC United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10CF Montréal2:1
- 27.09away · Nashville SC0:2
- 20.09away · St. Louis City1:3
- 13.09away · Orlando City0:3
- 10.09Nashville SC2:1
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
Head to head
- 26.07.2026DC United — Toronto FC2:1
- 10.05.2025Toronto FC — DC United2:0
- 23.02.2025DC United — Toronto FC2:2
- 01.09.2024Toronto FC — DC United1:3
- 02.06.2024DC United — Toronto FC2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.2
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6321161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →