Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC What is xG? | 2.5–1.1 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 87% | |
| San Diego FC not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
- San Diego FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
- 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 27.09DC United3:3
- 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
- 14.09Austin FC1:2
- 11.10away · Red Bull New York1:4
- 27.09away · Austin FC3:3
- 21.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 14.09Philadelphia Union0:5
- 10.09San Jose Earthquakes2:3
Head to head
- 24.05.2026San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps2:4
- 30.11.2025San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps1:3
- 20.07.2025San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 26.06.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary5921201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.4
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5025241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →