Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 67% against 14% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Vancouver Whitecaps — No. 2, 51 pts; San Diego FC — No. 21, 32 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- San Diego FC: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 wins, San Diego FC 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC What is xG? | 2.5–1.2 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 86% | |
| San Diego FC not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
- San Diego FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
- 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 27.09DC United3:3
- 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
- 14.09Austin FC1:2
- 11.10away · Red Bull New York1:4
- 27.09away · Austin FC3:3
- 21.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 14.09Philadelphia Union0:5
- 10.09San Jose Earthquakes2:3
Head to head
- 24.05.2026San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps2:4
- 30.11.2025San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps1:3
- 20.07.2025San Diego FC — Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 26.06.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — San Diego FC3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary363035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.7
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →