Russian Cup, round 5 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Volna Nizhny Novgorod — Shinnik Yaroslavl

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Model prediction for 14 October

Volna Nizhny Novgorod37%
Draw27%
Shinnik Yaroslavl36%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Volna Nizhny Novgorod 37%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 36%, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Volna Nizhny Novgorod — Shinnik Yaroslavl What is xG?1.4–1.4
Volna Nizhny Novgorod not to lose64%
Shinnik Yaroslavl not to lose63%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Volna Nizhny Novgorod
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  • Shinnik Yaroslavl goals
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Form

Volna Nizhny Novgorod

No past matches in the data yet.

Shinnik Yaroslavl

  • 15.10Neftekhimik1:1
  • 26.11Akron Togliatti0:1
  • 30.10Chayka0:0
  • 15.10away · FC Ufa1:0
  • 19.10away · Akron Togliatti0:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Russian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →