EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
West Ham United — West Bromwich Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
West Ham United are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: West Ham United — No. 6, 16 pts; West Bromwich Albion — No. 5, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 3 meetings: West Ham United 2 wins, West Bromwich Albion 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: West Ham United — West Bromwich Albion What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 85% | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap West Ham United
- West Ham United goals
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
- 08.09away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
- 13.10away · Wrexham2:1
- 10.10Birmingham City0:1
- 20.09away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 12.09Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 09.09away · Derby County1:0
Head to head
- 19.05.2021West Bromwich Albion — West Ham United1:3
- 19.01.2021West Ham United — West Bromwich Albion2:1
- 25.01.2020West Ham United — West Bromwich Albion0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3230382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Bolton WanderersBristol Citypreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- SouthamptonQueens Park Rangerspreliminary5325211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →