Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Wisła Kraków — Raków Częstochowa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wisła Kraków are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Raków Częstochowa are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Wisła Kraków — No. 6, 17 pts; Raków Częstochowa — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Raków Częstochowa: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Wisła Kraków 0 wins, Raków Częstochowa 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wisła Kraków — Raków Częstochowa What is xG? | 1.9–1.2 | |
| Wisła Kraków not to lose | 77% | |
| Raków Częstochowa not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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- Handicap Wisła Kraków
- Wisła Kraków goals
- Raków Częstochowa goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Legia Warszawa0:2
- 18.09Śląsk Wrocław2:1
- 11.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:0
- 05.09away · Korona Kielce1:1
- 29.08Wieczysta Kraków2:0
- 09.10GKS Katowice1:4
- 19.09away · Korona Kielce2:3
- 15.09Zagłębie Lubin2:3
- 11.09Motor Lublin2:1
- 06.09away · Lech Poznań0:1
Head to head
- 06.02.2022Raków Częstochowa — Wisła Kraków2:0
- 08.08.2021Wisła Kraków — Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 09.04.2021Wisła Kraków — Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 08.11.2020Raków Częstochowa — Wisła Kraków0:0
- 20.06.2020Raków Częstochowa — Wisła Kraków3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | -12 | 3 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Piast GliwiceCracoviapreliminary373132XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Korona KielceGKS Katowicepreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Pogoń SzczecinRadomiak Radompreliminary5924171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →