Ghana Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Young Apostles — Aduana Stars
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Young Apostles to win (41%), came true.
Young Apostles are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 26%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Young Apostles — Aduana Stars What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Young Apostles not to lose | 71% | |
| Aduana Stars not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 26% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 74% |
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- Young Apostles goals
- Aduana Stars goals
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Form
- 04.10away · Samartex0:1
- 27.09Heart of Lions1:2
- 20.09away · Debibi0:3
- 13.09Holy Stars1:0
- 05.09away · Vision FC0:3
- 04.10All Blacks2:1
- 27.09away · Asante Kotoko SC2:0
- 20.09Karela United2:1
- 13.09Samartex0:1
- 06.09away · Heart of Lions0:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Aduana Stars — Young Apostles3:1
- 28.12.2025Young Apostles — Aduana Stars2:2
- 02.04.2025Aduana Stars — Young Apostles2:2
- 29.09.2024Young Apostles — Aduana Stars3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashanti Gold | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Bechem United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Vision FC | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Young Apostles | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Debibi | 6 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
Next matches
- Asante Kotoko SCYoung Apostles18 October · Ghana Premier League6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Aduana StarsAshanti Gold18 October · Ghana Premier League5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5026241The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 14:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5425201The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 6819131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 5430171The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.1.4
- 4827251The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.3
- 7018111The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →