Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Zhenis — Kaisar Kyzylorda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zhenis are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zhenis are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zhenis — No. 9, 32 pts; Kaisar Kyzylorda — No. 14, 24 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Zhenis 1 win, Kaisar Kyzylorda 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zhenis — Kaisar Kyzylorda What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Zhenis not to lose | 78% | |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zhenis
- Zhenis goals
- Kaisar Kyzylorda goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Atyrau1:2
- 18.09away · Okzhetpes Kokshetau1:3
- 12.09FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk3:1
- 09.09away · Kairat Almaty0:3
- 05.09away · Aktobe0:1
- 11.10Ordabasy Shymkent1:4
- 18.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- 12.09Atyrau1:0
- 06.09away · FC Altai Oskemen0:2
- 29.08Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhenis1:1
- 26.10.2025Zhenis — Kaisar Kyzylorda2:2
- 02.03.2025Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhenis0:0
- 14.09.2024Zhenis — Kaisar Kyzylorda1:0
- 18.05.2024Kaisar Kyzylorda — Zhenis1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 27 | 6 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Kairat AlmatyFC Altai Oskemenpreliminary821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Kaspiy AktauFC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovskpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UlytauAtyraupreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- FC YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetaupreliminary4525301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Zhetysu TaldykorganFC Astanapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →