VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 12 October, MSK
Almetyevsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Almetyevsk to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Almetyevsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg | 3.2–2.4 | |
| Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Almetyevsk
- Almetyevsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
- 08.10Khimik3:2
- 04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO
- 02.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4
- 30.09away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:1 OT
- 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
- 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
- 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
- 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT
- 22.09Gornyak2:3
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Dinamo St. Petersburg — Almetyevsk3:2 SO
- 09.11.2025Almetyevsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:3 SO
- 01.03.2025Almetyevsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 SO
- 17.09.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Almetyevsk1:2 OT
- 28.02.2024Almetyevsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 15 | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
Next matches
- BarsDinamo St. Petersburg14 October · VHL48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:34.9
- AlmetyevskSKA-VMF St. Petersburg14 October · VHL66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
VHL on the same day
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.4
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.5
- 68321The most likely outcome did not happen: 125%1:2SOFinal score 1:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%8:0Final score 8:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →