DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Eisarena Bremerhaven
Bremerhaven — Eisbaren Berlin
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:3Came true
In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Eisbaren Berlin to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Bremerhaven 49%, Eisbaren Berlin 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bremerhaven — Eisbaren Berlin | 2.6–2.6 | |
| Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bremerhaven
- Bremerhaven goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
- 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
- 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
- 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3
- 25.09Munchen1:4
- 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
- 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
- 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
- 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0
- 25.09away · Kolner6:5 SO
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Eisbaren Berlin — Bremerhaven1:3
- 30.12.2025Bremerhaven — Eisbaren Berlin6:4
- 02.11.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Bremerhaven1:4
- 21.09.2025Bremerhaven — Eisbaren Berlin5:1
- 14.02.2025Bremerhaven — Eisbaren Berlin5:4 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 8 | 6 | +19 | 20 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Iserlohn Roosters | 8 | 1 | -17 | 6 |
Next matches
- BremerhavenNurnberg Ice Tigers16 October · DEL61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Eisbaren BerlinMunchen16 October · DEL57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
DEL on the same day
- 72281The most likely outcome did not happen: 118%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 75251The most likely outcome did not happen: 117%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 120%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.9
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →