Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Brest — Novopolotsk

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 17 October

Brest69%
Draw in regulation16%
Novopolotsk15%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Brest are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Brest are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brest — Novopolotsk3.7–1.9
Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout)80%
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)20%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brest
  • Brest goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Brest

  • 12.10Zhlobin2:3
  • 10.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 06.10away · Molodechno3:2
  • 04.10away · Molodechno2:1 OT
  • 29.09Neman Grodno4:2

Novopolotsk

  • 11.10Molodechno2:3
  • 09.10Molodechno1:6
  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Novopolotsk — Brest3:1
  • 21.01.2026Novopolotsk — Brest2:4
  • 31.10.2025Brest — Novopolotsk8:1
  • 29.10.2025Brest — Novopolotsk7:1
  • 13.02.2025Brest — Novopolotsk3:2

Full record: 63 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 5:25.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →