NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings — Winnipeg Jets
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Winnipeg Jets to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Detroit Red Wings 49%, Winnipeg Jets 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Winnipeg Jets | 2.7–2.7 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10New York Rangers0:2
- 16.04away · Florida Panthers1:8
- 14.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
- 12.04New Jersey Devils3:5
- 10.04Philadelphia Flyers6:3
- 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT
- 17.04San Jose Sharks1:6
- 15.04away · Utah Mammoth3:5
- 14.04away · Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 12.04Philadelphia Flyers1:7
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — Detroit Red Wings1:5
- 01.01.2026Detroit Red Wings — Winnipeg Jets2:1
- 05.01.2025Winnipeg Jets — Detroit Red Wings2:4
- 31.10.2024Detroit Red Wings — Winnipeg Jets2:6
- 21.12.2023Winnipeg Jets — Detroit Red Wings5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next matches
- Pittsburgh PenguinsWinnipeg Jets6 October · NHL66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
- Detroit Red WingsOttawa Senators7 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →