NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers — Seattle Kraken
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.
Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Seattle Kraken | 3.4–2.9 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Edmonton Oilers
- Edmonton Oilers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 30.09Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
- 01.05away · Anaheim Ducks2:5
- 29.04Anaheim Ducks4:1
- 27.04away · Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT
- 02.10away · Calgary Flames6:1
- 17.04away · Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 16.04away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 14.04Los Angeles Kings3:5
- 12.04Calgary Flames4:1
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Edmonton Oilers — Seattle Kraken3:0
- 05.12.2025Edmonton Oilers — Seattle Kraken9:4
- 30.11.2025Seattle Kraken — Edmonton Oilers0:4
- 26.10.2025Seattle Kraken — Edmonton Oilers3:2
- 28.03.2025Seattle Kraken — Edmonton Oilers6:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
Next matches
- Seattle KrakenCalgary Flames5 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- Anaheim DucksEdmonton Oilers8 October · NHL46542The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:5, exactly right.6.4
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →