Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Molodechno — Lokomotiv Orsha

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Model prediction for 18 October

Molodechno74%
Draw in regulation15%
Lokomotiv Orsha11%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Molodechno are clear favourites: 85% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Molodechno — Lokomotiv Orsha3.5–1.5
Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout)85%
Lokomotiv Orsha to win (incl. OT and shootout)15%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Molodechno
  • Molodechno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Molodechno

  • 11.10away · Novopolotsk3:2
  • 09.10away · Novopolotsk6:1
  • 06.10Brest2:3
  • 04.10Brest1:2 OT
  • 29.09Zhlobin3:0

Lokomotiv Orsha

  • 11.10Neman Grodno0:1
  • 09.10Neman Grodno2:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Gomel2:5
  • 03.10away · Gomel3:4
  • 29.09Lida5:4 SO

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Lokomotiv Orsha — Molodechno1:5
  • 09.02.2026Lokomotiv Orsha — Molodechno0:2
  • 07.11.2025Molodechno — Lokomotiv Orsha4:0
  • 05.11.2025Molodechno — Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
  • 24.01.2025Lokomotiv Orsha — Molodechno1:3

Full record: 34 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →