NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

New Jersey Devils — Colorado Avalanche

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Model prediction for 21 October

New Jersey Devils32%
Draw in regulation22%
Colorado Avalanche46%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Avalanche are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Colorado Avalanche2.7–3.2
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
  • 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT

Colorado Avalanche

  • 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
  • 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
  • 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
  • 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4

Head to head

  • 29.10.2025Colorado Avalanche — New Jersey Devils8:4
  • 26.10.2025New Jersey Devils — Colorado Avalanche4:3 OT
  • 27.02.2025Colorado Avalanche — New Jersey Devils5:1
  • 09.12.2024New Jersey Devils — Colorado Avalanche0:4
  • 07.02.2024New Jersey Devils — Colorado Avalanche5:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets531113–15-27
15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceWashington Capitals530217–14+36
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74
27Vancouver Canucks720524–35-114

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →