NHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Seattle Kraken 52%, Detroit Red Wings 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
- 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 03.10New York Rangers0:2
Head to head
- 10.10.2026Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.12.2025Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings3:4
- 19.11.2025Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken4:2
- 05.02.2025Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings4:5 SO
- 12.01.2025Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken6:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 6 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 6 | 4 | +9 | 8 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 27 | Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 2 | -11 | 4 |
| 28 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- Columbus Blue JacketsToronto Maple Leafspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Montreal CanadiensSan Jose Sharkspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:26.1
- New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanchepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.9
- New York IslandersAnaheim Duckspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
- Washington CapitalsLos Angeles Kingspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Dallas StarsBoston Bruinspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- St. Louis BluesWinnipeg Jetspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Edmonton OilersMinnesota Wildpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →