AHL (American Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

San Jose Barracuda — Calgary Wranglers

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Model prediction for 14 October

San Jose Barracuda49%
Draw in regulation20%
Calgary Wranglers31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 67%.

Why

  • San Jose Barracuda are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Calgary Wranglers3.5–2.9
San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)67%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)33%

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Form

San Jose Barracuda

  • 11.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
  • 10.10Tucson Roadrunners4:7
  • 05.10San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
  • 04.10San Diego Gulls1:5
  • 25.04away · Henderson Silver Knights1:5

Calgary Wranglers

  • 11.10Bakersfield Condors4:5
  • 10.10Bakersfield Condors2:1
  • 04.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 03.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 19.04away · Colorado Eagles7:5

Head to head

  • 26.02.2026Calgary Wranglers — San Jose Barracuda2:4
  • 25.02.2026Calgary Wranglers — San Jose Barracuda3:5
  • 22.02.2026San Jose Barracuda — Calgary Wranglers3:4 OT
  • 01.02.2026San Jose Barracuda — Calgary Wranglers7:2
  • 31.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Calgary Wranglers5:1

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
27Henderson Silver Knights31025–8-32.333
28San Jose Barracuda410311–20-92.250
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →