NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · Delta Center

Utah Mammoth — Chicago Blackhawks

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Model prediction and result

6:0Came true
Utah Mammoth56%
Draw in regulation20%
Chicago Blackhawks23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, Utah Mammoth to win (69% incl. overtime), came true.

Utah Mammoth are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Mammoth 1 win, Chicago Blackhawks 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Chicago Blackhawks3.4–2.3
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Utah Mammoth
  • Utah Mammoth goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Utah Mammoth

  • 02.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
  • 30.04away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
  • 28.04Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
  • 25.04Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 22.04away · Vegas Golden Knights3:2

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 30.09away · Vegas Golden Knights2:5
  • 16.04San Jose Sharks5:2
  • 14.04Buffalo Sabres1:5
  • 12.04St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.04Carolina Hurricanes2:7

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Chicago Blackhawks2:3 OT
  • 10.03.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Utah Mammoth3:2 OT
  • 02.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Chicago Blackhawks0:4
  • 14.10.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Utah Mammoth3:1
  • 30.03.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Utah Mammoth2:5

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →