NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

5:2Came true
Winnipeg Jets43%
Draw in regulation23%
Minnesota Wild34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Winnipeg Jets to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.

Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.

Why

  • Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.
  • Minnesota Wild: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild3.1–2.8
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)61%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)39%

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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
  • 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
  • 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
  • 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT

Minnesota Wild

  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
  • 04.10Boston Bruins4:1

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Minnesota Wild — Winnipeg Jets2:6
  • 28.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild3:4 OT
  • 24.11.2025Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild0:3
  • 29.10.2025Minnesota Wild — Winnipeg Jets3:4 OT
  • 22.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Minnesota Wild5:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →