Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Tsitsipas S. — Hijikata R.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Tsitsipas S.70%
Hijikata R.30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Tsitsipas S. to win (70%), came true.

Tsitsipas S. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tsitsipas S. 1732, Hijikata R. 1584.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tsitsipas S. games
  • Hijikata R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tsitsipas S.

  • 28.09Nishioka Y.2:0

Hijikata R.

  • 28.09Ugo Carabelli C.2:0
  • 25.09Rublev A.0:2
  • 24.09Svrcina D.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Etcheverry T. M.Tsitsipas S.1 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Hijikata R.Safiullin R.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →