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Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)

Academie de FAD — Yamoussoukro

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Model prediction and result

3:0Came true
Academie de FAD38%
Draw29%
Yamoussoukro33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Academie de FAD to win (38%), came true.

Evenly matched: Academie de FAD 38%, Yamoussoukro 33%, draw 29%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Academie de FAD are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Academie de FAD are 126 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Yamoussoukro: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Academie de FAD — Yamoussoukro What is xG?1.1–1.0
Academie de FAD not to lose67%
Yamoussoukro not to lose62%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Academie de FAD
  • Academie de FAD goals
  • Yamoussoukro goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Academie de FAD

  • 10.10away · ASEC Mimosas1:1
  • 04.10SO Armee1:1
  • 27.09away · Bouake1:2
  • 24.05away · SOL2:0
  • 17.05Olympique Sport8:0

Yamoussoukro

  • 18.10SOL1:1
  • 11.10away · Stella Adjame1:1
  • 06.10away · Mouna2:0
  • 26.09ASEC Mimosas1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3Stade d'Abidjan523010–7+39
4Yamoussoukro52215–508
5SOL52129–907
8San Pedro42025–3+26
9Academie de FAD41216–4+25
10ASEC Mimosas41213–2+15

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next match

Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →