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Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny

ASEC Mimosas — San Pedro

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
ASEC Mimosas36%
Draw29%
San Pedro34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, ASEC Mimosas to win (36%), came true.

Evenly matched: ASEC Mimosas 36%, San Pedro 34%, draw 29%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings ASEC Mimosas are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • ASEC Mimosas are 94 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • ASEC Mimosas: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: ASEC Mimosas 4 wins, San Pedro 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ASEC Mimosas — San Pedro What is xG?1.3–1.2
ASEC Mimosas not to lose66%
San Pedro not to lose64%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap ASEC Mimosas
  • ASEC Mimosas goals
  • San Pedro goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

ASEC Mimosas

  • 10.10Academie de FAD1:1
  • 04.10Stella Adjame0:0
  • 26.09away · Yamoussoukro0:1
  • 24.05Olympique Sport0:1
  • 17.05away · Zoman1:1

San Pedro

  • 10.10away · Bouake3:0
  • 04.10away · Tchologo2:0
  • 27.09Zoman0:1
  • 23.05away · ISCA1:1
  • 17.05Mouna3:1

Head to head

  • 10.05.2026San Pedro — ASEC Mimosas0:2
  • 04.12.2025ASEC Mimosas — San Pedro4:2
  • 23.03.2025ASEC Mimosas — San Pedro3:0
  • 14.11.2024San Pedro — ASEC Mimosas0:1
  • 23.03.2024San Pedro — ASEC Mimosas1:0

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Mouna52122–3-17
8San Pedro42025–3+26
9Academie de FAD41216–4+25
10ASEC Mimosas41213–2+15
11Stella Adjame41214–405

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • San PedroSO Armee5 November · Ivory Coast Ligue 1
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
  • ISCAASEC Mimosas5 November · Ivory Coast Ligue 1
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.0

Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →