PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

A-League Men (Australia), round 4 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Adelaide United — Melbourne Victory

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 8 November

Adelaide United38%
Draw29%
Melbourne Victory33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Adelaide United 38%, Melbourne Victory 33%, draw 29%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Adelaide United — No. 12, 0 pts; Melbourne Victory — No. 9, 2 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Adelaide United: 3 defeats in a row; Melbourne Victory: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Adelaide United 2 wins, Melbourne Victory 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Adelaide United — Melbourne Victory What is xG?1.6–1.5
Adelaide United not to lose67%
Melbourne Victory not to lose62%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Adelaide United
  • Adelaide United goals
  • Melbourne Victory goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAdelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Goals scored per match1.41.7
Goals conceded per match1.71.2
xG per match1.671.45
Opponents’ xG1.531.35
Shots17.115.0
On target6.05.2
Corners6.76.3
Cards1.81.6
Possession, %5549

Averages per match: Adelaide United — the last 10, Melbourne Victory — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Adelaide United

  • 01.11away · Perth Glory0:4
  • 25.10away · Sydney FC1:2
  • 15.05Auckland FC0:3
  • 09.05away · Auckland FC1:1
  • 26.04away · Melbourne City FC2:1

Melbourne Victory

  • 01.11Central Coast Mariners1:1
  • 24.10Melbourne City FC1:1
  • 18.10away · Wellington Phoenix1:2
  • 02.05Sydney FC0:1
  • 25.04away · Western Sydney Wanderers FC2:0

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Melbourne Victory — Adelaide United1:1
  • 17.01.2026Adelaide United — Melbourne Victory2:1
  • 13.12.2025Melbourne Victory — Adelaide United2:1
  • 29.03.2025Melbourne Victory — Adelaide United5:3
  • 18.01.2025Adelaide United — Melbourne Victory3:2

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Perth Glory31026–4+23
9Melbourne Victory30213–4-12
10Central Coast Mariners30213–5-22
11Newcastle Jets30213–6-32
12Adelaide United20021–6-50

Season 2026/27

Full table

A-League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →