Russian Cup, round 6 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Akron Togliatti — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSKA Moscow are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- CSKA Moscow are 161 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Akron Togliatti 1 win, CSKA Moscow 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Akron Togliatti — CSKA Moscow What is xG? | 1.0–2.0 | |
| Akron Togliatti not to lose | 40% | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Akron Togliatti
- Akron Togliatti goals
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Akron Togliatti | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.98 | 1.75 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.39 | 1.56 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.0 | 5.9 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Cards | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 49 |
Form
- 01.11away · Baltika1:2
- 28.10away · FC Rostov1:6
- 24.10Dinamo Moscow3:1
- 17.10away · Dynamo Makhachkala1:1
- 13.10away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 01.11away · FC Orenburg0:0
- 29.10Lokomotiv Moscow3:1
- 25.10Spartak Moscow2:0
- 18.10away · Dinamo Moscow1:3
- 14.10FC Rostov4:0
Head to head
- 28.08.2026Akron Togliatti — CSKA Moscow2:2
- 18.08.2026CSKA Moscow — Akron Togliatti0:1
- 04.04.2026Akron Togliatti — CSKA Moscow1:2
- 21.10.2025CSKA Moscow — Akron Togliatti3:2
- 24.08.2025CSKA Moscow — Akron Togliatti3:1
Russian Cup on the same day
- Zenit St. PetersburgKrylya Sovetov Samarapreliminary811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →