Egyptian Premier League, round 9 · Monday, 23 November, 21:00 (UTC+3)

Al Ahly SC — Pyramids FC

Model prediction for 23 November

Al Ahly SC42%

Draw30%

Pyramids FC27%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al Ahly SC are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

By the strength ratings Al Ahly SC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Al Ahly SC are 67 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Al Ahly SC — No. 2, 20 pts; Pyramids FC — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Al Ahly SC: unbeaten in 5; Pyramids FC: 5 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Al Ahly SC 1 win, Pyramids FC 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Ahly SC — Pyramids FC What is xG?		1.4–1.1
Al Ahly SC not to lose		73%
Pyramids FC not to lose		58%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		52%
Both teams to score: no		48%
Total over 2.5		44%
Total under 2.5		56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC goals
Pyramids FC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Al Ahly SC	Pyramids FC
Goals scored per match	2.0	2.3
Goals conceded per match	0.6	0.7
xG per match	1.34	1.48
Opponents’ xG	0.66	0.69
Shots	14.7	15.3
On target	5.2	4.6
Corners	5.7	5.8
Cards	1.2	1.9
Possession, %	54	55

Averages per match: Al Ahly SC — the last 10, Pyramids FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al Ahly SC

29.10away · Modern Sport FC1:0
21.10Olympic El Qanah FC3:3
11.10away · Zamalek SC2:0
15.09Abo Qir Semad2:0
09.09away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab1:1

Pyramids FC

29.10Wadi Degla FC2:1
20.10away · Tala'ea El Gaish4:1
12.10Ceramica Cleopatra4:1
17.09away · Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI2:1
09.09El Gouna FC1:0

Head to head

27.04.2026Pyramids FC — Al Ahly SC3:0
30.08.2025Al Ahly SC — Pyramids FC0:2
12.04.2025Pyramids FC — Al Ahly SC1:1
26.01.2025Al Ahly SC — Pyramids FC2:2
22.07.2024Pyramids FC — Al Ahly SC0:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	8	8	0	0	19–4	+15	24
2	Al Ahly SC	8	6	2	0	15–6	+9	20
3	Zamalek SC	8	6	1	1	11–4	+7	19

Season 2026/27

Full table

Egyptian Premier League on the same day

18:00
El Gouna FCZamalek SCpreliminary
213049
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →